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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.9 wins, so it did +3.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+3.6 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.9
Flagged volume
$2.49M
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±10.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$190.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $22.80M volume · 8,063 trades · since May 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$192.0k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$751
Closed-position win rate
92%
73 closed
Wallet age · markets
885d
75 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +3.2 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +4.4 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x94cff0…