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Maduro out by January 31, 2026?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $509.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?excluded$509.8k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 510,355 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1h6.4× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Official-Market-Maker took Yes (buy) for $509.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $509.8k+3
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $509.8k
- Placed
- Jan 03, 06:09 EST
- Market close
- Jan 03, 07:14 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Official-Market-Maker
- Tx
- 0x2540e7fc…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+3.6 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsYes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $35.1k | excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $128.9k 3.6× usual |
excluded |