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Maduro out by January 31, 2026?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $128.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?excluded$128.9k
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ · 129,158 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteProven wallet3.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet aff3 took Yes (buy) for $128.9k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $128.9k+2
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $128.9k
- Placed
- Jan 03, 05:18 EST
- Market close
- Jan 03, 07:14 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aff3
- Tx
- 0x7a581bd5…
This wallet's graded record
22/23+6.5 pts
expected 20.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsYes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $509.8k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $35.1k | excluded |