0x7cc9…b8a8

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$4Yes · avg 2¢ → 2.1¢ · $63 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?−$1Yes · avg 1.9¢ → 1.8¢ · $40 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?−$9Yes · avg 2¢ → 1.2¢ · $15 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?+$5Yes · avg 0.6¢ → 2.5¢ · $6

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$14.2k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$2,223

Last 30 days −$13 · $5.52M volume · 31,366 trades · since Nov 15, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$26.5k

Open P&L · 81 positions

−$41.3k

Closed-position win rate

58%

302 closed

Wallet age · markets

708d

362 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$14.2k	0%	293d ago	excluded

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$14.2k

LOW 0x7cc9…b8a8 · 293d ago

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