Tuesday, January 20, 2026

87 whale trades totalling $2.19M from 63 wallets. Biggest: $100.0k buy No on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?” at 75¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 75¢	$100.0k	75%	0x40e1…973f	277d ago	missed	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97.4¢	$92.6k	97%	FedMoneyPrinter	276d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 97¢	$71.7k 2.5× usual	3%	0x6d77…b72c	277d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢	$71.6k	98%	tsekinming01	276d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	MED SELL No @ 75¢	$65.8k 2.3× usual	25%	0x6d77…b72c	277d ago	called	Trade this
Rams vs. Seahawks	LOW BUY Rams @ 42¢	$55.9k	42%	0x3f10…76b3	276d ago	missed	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 97.5¢	$48.2k 2.3× usual	3%	hollyber	276d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 95¢	$45.0k	95%	0x40e1…973f	277d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 96.9¢	$44.6k	97%	debased	277d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97.2¢	$43.6k	97%	Miracle007	276d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢	$41.2k	98%	aff3 PROVEN	277d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97.3¢	$40.0k	97%	TwoEyes	276d ago	excluded
Rams vs. Seahawks	LOW BUY Seahawks @ 58¢	$39.9k	58%	SammySledge	276d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢	$38.9k	98%	ef3arc	276d ago	excluded
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	MED BUY No @ 96.8¢	$37.7k	97%	pugdev	277d ago	called	Trade this

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?missed

BUY No @ 75¢$100.0k

LOW 0x40e1…973f · 277d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 97.4¢$92.6k

LOW FedMoneyPrinter · 276d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 97¢$71.7k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 277d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 97.5¢$71.6k

LOW tsekinming01 · 276d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?called

SELL No @ 75¢$65.8k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 277d ago

Trade this

Rams vs. Seahawksmissed

BUY Rams @ 42¢$55.9k

LOW 0x3f10…76b3 · 276d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 97.5¢$48.2k

LOW hollyber · 276d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called

BUY No @ 95¢$45.0k

LOW 0x40e1…973f · 277d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 96.9¢$44.6k

MED debased · 277d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 97.2¢$43.6k

LOW Miracle007 · 276d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?excluded

BUY No @ 97.6¢$41.2k

LOW PROVEN aff3 · 277d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 97.3¢$40.0k

LOW TwoEyes · 276d ago

Rams vs. Seahawkscalled

BUY Seahawks @ 58¢$39.9k

LOW SammySledge · 276d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 97.5¢$38.9k

LOW ef3arc · 276d ago

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?called

BUY No @ 96.8¢$37.7k

MED pugdev · 277d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$861.5k · 28 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$165.8k · 2 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$140.4k · 9 flags

Rams vs. Seahawks

$125.2k · 4 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$100.0k · 4 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$97.8k · 6 flags