← Wallets
+$39.7kNo · avg 50¢ → 90¢ · $89.7k+$3,004Yes · avg 78¢ → 91.5¢ · $20.4k−$39.7kYes · avg 50¢ → 10¢ · $10.3k+$2,603No · avg 36¢ → 94.2¢ · $4,208−$508No · avg 66¢ → 34¢ · $524 · 0 proven with, 1 against−$290Yes · avg 76¢ → 20¢ · $100
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -2.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-2.4 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$283.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,828
Last 30 days +$1,241 · $2.85M volume · 3,926 trades · since Aug 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$68.6k
Open P&L · 84 positions
−$94.5k
Closed-position win rate
75%
306 closed
Wallet age · markets
802d
354 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -10.0 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.2 pts |
History
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