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What this means. A wallet put $30.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?missed
$30.1k
SELL No @ 90¢ · 33,394 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Miracle007 took No (sell) for $30.1k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $30.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
90¢
Implied odds
10.0%
Size
$30.1k
Placed
Jun 19, 08:19 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Miracle007
Tx
0x39f6ba5b…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-2.4 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -10 pts
No price · entry 90¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 90¢ · $30.1k WHALE $30.1K @ 90¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% Valen9109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $65.7k0% hymolu109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% 0x7131…29cc109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% djked110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% hymolu110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.2k0% 0xce83…5b97110d agoexcluded