Monday, June 1, 2026

266 whale trades totalling $17.03M from 198 wallets. Biggest: $2.62M buy No on “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?” at 99.9¢. 23 of 49 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 30.2 expected (-14.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$2.62M 19.6× usual	100%	0xa2cd…2ba0	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$1.03M 3.2× usual	100%	0x6fec…3be3	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$853.9k	100%	0x90ca…1a4b	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$795.4k 6.0× usual	100%	0xa2cd…2ba0	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$684.0k	100%	Shirtybonds	144d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$397.6k 9.3× usual	0%	badbbd	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$361.0k 18.1× usual	0%	tetrase	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$329.1k 7.2× usual	100%	0xheavy888	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.5¢	$313.9k	99%	0x665d…af35	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$279.6k 2.1× usual	100%	0x7750…5226	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 78¢	$277.0k	78%	willo2	144d ago	missed	Trade this
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 99.5¢	$255.7k 9.0× usual	1%	Car	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$239.2k 4.8× usual	0%	elmcap2	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$237.9k 5.9× usual	100%	0x6ede…97a2	144d ago	excluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$214.8k 9.4× usual	0%	Gleaming-Pear	144d ago	excluded

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$2.62M

MED 0xa2cd…2ba0 · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$1.03M

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$853.9k

LOW 0x90ca…1a4b · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$795.4k

LOW 0xa2cd…2ba0 · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$684.0k

MED Shirtybonds · 144d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$397.6k

MED badbbd · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$361.0k

MED tetrase · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$329.1k

LOW 0xheavy888 · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$313.9k

MED 0x665d…af35 · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$279.6k

MED 0x7750…5226 · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?missed

BUY Yes @ 78¢$277.0k

HIGH willo2 · 144d ago

Trade this

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$255.7k

MED Car · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$239.2k

LOW elmcap2 · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$237.9k

LOW 0x6ede…97a2 · 144d ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$214.8k

LOW Gleaming-Pear · 144d ago

Most traded markets

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

$13.77M · 152 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

$1.08M · 23 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

$497.9k · 20 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$219.4k · 5 flags

Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya

$200.5k · 6 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

$175.0k · 6 flags