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What this means. A wallet put $361.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
$361.0k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 362,048 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)17.7× this wallet's usual betCrypto

What happened

Wallet tetrase took No (sell) for $361.0k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $361.0k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$361.0k
Placed
Jun 01, 21:38 EDT
Market close
Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
tetrase
Tx
0xae0abd54…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+20.7 pts
expected 5.3 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.8k100% Hans323142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $93.3k
3.1× usual
100% Slowroasted142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k
2.1× usual
100% Lolakis142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $351.6k100% BecauseNo NEW142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $360.0k
7.9× usual
100% LlamaEnjoyer142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% veryverysure NEW142d agoexcluded