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0xa2cd…2ba0

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$7.93M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$320.9k
Last 30 days −$23.5k · $22.79M volume · 2,375 trades · since Apr 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$384.0k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$694.3k
Closed-position win rate
89%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
177d
24 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 19¢ $131.9k19% 131d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 22¢ $134.6k22% 131d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 35¢ $158.8k35% 131d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ $38.2k50% 131d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ $47.6k74% 131d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $26.7k99% 143d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $795.4k
6.0× usual
100% 144d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $2.62M
19.6× usual
100% 144d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 71¢ $57.0k29% 144d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 77¢ $122.6k77% 144d agomissed
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $2.10M
15.7× usual
100% 176d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $1.71M
12.8× usual
100% 176d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa2cd4c…