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What this means. A wallet put $279.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
$279.6k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 280,160 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betCrypto

What happened

Wallet 0x7750…5226 took No (buy) for $279.6k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $279.6k+3
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
99.8%
Size
$279.6k
Placed
Jun 01, 21:56 EDT
Market close
Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x7750…5226
Tx
0xc7e78bee…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.8k100% Hans323142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $93.3k
3.1× usual
100% Slowroasted142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k
2.1× usual
100% Lolakis142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $351.6k100% BecauseNo NEW142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $360.0k
7.9× usual
100% LlamaEnjoyer142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% veryverysure NEW142d agoexcluded