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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$1.89M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$19.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $9.45M volume · 1,510 trades · since Apr 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$19.7k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
88%
51 closed
Wallet age · markets
185d
45 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ | $63.4k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $158.7k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $279.6k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $202.9k | excluded |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $963.1k 7.3× usual |
excluded |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $103.5k | excluded |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $99.8k | excluded |
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