Sunday, May 31, 2026

141 whale trades totalling $7.26M from 98 wallets. Biggest: $488.8k sell No on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?” at 99.7¢. 27 of 45 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 26.0 expected (+2.3 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$488.8k 18.1× usual	0%	AdrianCronauer	145d ago	excluded
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	HIGH BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 89¢	$438.1k 3.5× usual	89%	brightshieldd	145d ago	called	Trade this
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 98.7¢	$399.4k 14.8× usual	1%	AdrianCronauer	145d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$357.8k	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	145d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$244.4k	99%	testlp	145d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$209.9k 6.5× usual	1%	0xbe48…683f	145d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$199.6k 8.3× usual	100%	The Spirit of Ukraine>UM	145d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$191.0k 6.4× usual	100%	Trump2028	145d ago	excluded
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$168.5k 6.0× usual	99%	aenews2 LOSING	145d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$151.3k	99%	testlp	145d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$147.9k 6.0× usual	100%	strike123	145d ago	excluded
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	MED BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 90¢	$129.6k	90%	brightshieldd	145d ago	called	Trade this
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$122.6k 5.3× usual	0%	Gleaming-Pear	145d ago	excluded
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	MED BUY GIANTX @ 61¢	$121.0k 3.0× usual	61%	bossoskil1	145d ago	excluded
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	MED BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 90¢	$119.4k	90%	brightshieldd	145d ago	called	Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$488.8k

MED AdrianCronauer · 145d ago

Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmanncalled

BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 89¢$438.1k

HIGH brightshieldd · 145d ago

Trade this

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$399.4k

MED AdrianCronauer · 145d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$357.8k

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 145d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$244.4k

LOW testlp · 145d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$209.9k

LOW 0xbe48…683f · 145d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$199.6k

LOW The Spirit of Ukraine>UM · 145d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$191.0k

LOW Trump2028 · 145d ago

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$168.5k

LOW LOSING aenews2 · 145d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$151.3k

LOW testlp · 145d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$147.9k

LOW strike123 · 145d ago

Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmanncalled

BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 90¢$129.6k

MED brightshieldd · 145d ago

Trade this

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$122.6k

LOW Gleaming-Pear · 145d ago

LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsexcluded

BUY GIANTX @ 61¢$121.0k

MED bossoskil1 · 145d ago

Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmanncalled

BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 90¢$119.4k

MED brightshieldd · 145d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

$3.60M · 51 flags

Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann

$743.0k · 6 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$610.6k · 7 flags

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

$542.2k · 12 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

$438.2k · 15 flags

LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

$368.9k · 10 flags