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What this means. A wallet put $122.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?excluded
$122.6k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 122,767 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)5.3× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet Gleaming-Pear took Yes (sell) for $122.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $122.6k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$122.6k
Placed
May 31, 20:07 EDT
Market close
Jun 01, 20:50 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Gleaming-Pear
Tx
0xcfe32ffd…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $122.6k WHALE $122.6K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.2k0% tetrase144d agoexcluded
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
2.1× usual
0% HorribleWork144d agoexcluded
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% jklsjdwoqejasdf145d agoexcluded
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% perroperro145d agoexcluded
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $36.0k100% 0x6ede…97a2145d agoexcluded
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $168.5k
6.0× usual
99% aenews2 LOSING145d agoexcluded