Monday, May 25, 2026

115 whale trades totalling $4.60M from 84 wallets. Biggest: $354.6k buy No on “Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?” at 99.9¢. 30 of 52 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 30.6 expected (-1.2 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$354.6k 4.5× usual	100%	033033033	151d ago	excluded
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	HIGH BUY Hurricanes @ 57¢	$335.9k	57%	0x4924…3782	151d ago	called	Trade this
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 87¢	$300.0k	87%	aekghas	151d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$278.8k	100%	TheMonaLisaCode	151d ago	excluded
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	MED BUY San Diego Padres @ 48¢	$152.3k 3.8× usual	48%	bossoskil1	151d ago	missed	Trade this
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	MED BUY San Diego Padres @ 49¢	$143.9k 3.1× usual	49%	texaskid	151d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$120.3k 2.6× usual	100%	CAR-GangVersion	152d ago	excluded
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	MED BUY Yes @ 58¢	$116.0k	58%	thegreatjeff	151d ago	called	Trade this
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 49¢	$98.0k 2.4× usual	49%	bossoskil1	151d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Thunder	MED BUY Spurs @ 38¢	$91.8k	38%	cowwaffle NEW	151d ago	missed	Trade this
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$83.5k 3.7× usual	99%	Trustinghorse	151d ago	excluded
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$77.9k	100%	TheMonaLisaCode	151d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢	$77.0k 2.2× usual	98%	aff3 PROVEN	151d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	MED SELL No @ 96.6¢	$72.4k 2.5× usual	3%	peoplearestrange	151d ago	missed	Trade this
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢	$72.2k 2.9× usual	1%	strike123	151d ago	excluded

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$354.6k

LOW 033033033 · 151d ago

Hurricanes vs. Canadienscalled

BUY Hurricanes @ 57¢$335.9k

HIGH 0x4924…3782 · 151d ago

Trade this

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?called

BUY No @ 87¢$300.0k

HIGH aekghas · 151d ago

Trade this

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$278.8k

LOW TheMonaLisaCode · 151d ago

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresmissed

BUY San Diego Padres @ 48¢$152.3k

MED bossoskil1 · 151d ago

Trade this

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresexcluded

BUY San Diego Padres @ 49¢$143.9k

MED texaskid · 151d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$120.3k

LOW CAR-GangVersion · 152d ago

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?called

BUY Yes @ 58¢$116.0k

MED thegreatjeff · 151d ago

Trade this

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresexcluded

BUY San Diego Padres @ 49¢$98.0k

LOW bossoskil1 · 151d ago

Spurs vs. Thundermissed

BUY Spurs @ 38¢$91.8k

MED New wallet cowwaffle · 151d ago

Trade this

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$83.5k

LOW Trustinghorse · 151d ago

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$77.9k

LOW TheMonaLisaCode · 151d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?excluded

BUY No @ 97.8¢$77.0k

LOW PROVEN aff3 · 151d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?missed

SELL No @ 96.6¢$72.4k

MED peoplearestrange · 151d ago

Trade this

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$72.2k

LOW strike123 · 151d ago

Most traded markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

$903.6k · 25 flags

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

$576.2k · 11 flags

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

$551.2k · 22 flags

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

$424.1k · 6 flags

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

$388.6k · 3 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

$387.4k · 18 flags