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What this means. A wallet put $298.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-12.4 pts over 36 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$298.7k
BUY No @ 78¢ · 384,607 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet aekghas took No (buy) for $298.7k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $298.7k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−347American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 77.7%
- Size
- $298.7k
- Placed
- May 24, 04:53 EDT
- Market close
- May 25, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aekghas
- Tx
- 0xbf89dfcc…
This wallet's graded record
24/36-12.4 pts
expected 28.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +22 ptsNo price · entry 78¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |