← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $72.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$72.2k
SELL No @ 98.5¢ · 73,231 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.9× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet strike123 took No (sell) for $72.2k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $72.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 1.5%
- Size
- $72.2k
- Placed
- May 25, 11:19 EDT
- Market close
- May 23, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- strike123
- Tx
- 0x9ae2f4d8…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-18.7 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |