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Spurs vs. Thundermissed
What this means. A wallet put $91.8k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$91.8k
BUY Spurs @ 38¢ · 241,465 shares
Size ≥ $10kFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet cowwaffle took Spurs (buy) for $91.8k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $91.8k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- As American odds
- +163 no vig
- Size
- $91.8k
- Placed
- May 25, 21:07 EDT
- Market close
- May 26, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- cowwaffle
- Tx
- 0x02b9f8f4…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-38.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsSpurs price · entry 38¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 85¢ | $140.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED SELL Thunder @ 91¢ | $30.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 92¢ | $10.1k | excluded |