Friday, May 22, 2026

181 whale trades totalling $8.44M from 133 wallets. Biggest: $849.3k sell No on “Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?” at 99.9¢. 7 of 9 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 4.3 expected (+29.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$849.3k 5.1× usual	0%	lfg321	154d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	HIGH BUY Spurs @ 55¢	$421.6k 18.6× usual	55%	mooseborzoi LOSING	154d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 94.3¢	$401.1k 2.1× usual	94%	aekghas	154d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 83¢	$300.0k	83%	aekghas	154d ago	called	Trade this
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	HIGH BUY Cavaliers @ 55¢	$253.9k 3.0× usual	55%	kch123	154d ago	missed	Trade this
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢	$221.7k	100%	TheMonaLisaCode	154d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$193.8k 7.6× usual	0%	WordleAddict	154d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 54¢	$193.7k 4.8× usual	54%	bossoskil1	154d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	MED BUY Yes @ 43¢	$193.5k	43%	MildredBK	155d ago	missed	Trade this
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 75¢	$193.4k	75%	aekghas	154d ago	called	Trade this
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢	$177.0k 4.3× usual	0%	VPenguin	154d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 55¢	$162.2k 2.6× usual	55%	surfandturf LOSING	154d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 96¢	$155.1k 3.0× usual	96%	JAHODA	154d ago	called	Trade this
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 54¢	$122.8k 5.4× usual	54%	mooseborzoi LOSING	154d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	MED SELL No @ 99.4¢	$111.7k 5.9× usual	1%	westminster	154d ago	excluded

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$849.3k

MED lfg321 · 154d ago

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 55¢$421.6k

HIGH LOSING mooseborzoi · 154d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 94.3¢$401.1k

HIGH aekghas · 154d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 83¢$300.0k

HIGH aekghas · 154d ago

Trade this

Knicks vs. Cavaliersmissed

BUY Cavaliers @ 55¢$253.9k

HIGH kch123 · 154d ago

Trade this

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢$221.7k

LOW TheMonaLisaCode · 154d ago

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$193.8k

LOW WordleAddict · 154d ago

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 54¢$193.7k

MED bossoskil1 · 154d ago

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?missed

BUY Yes @ 43¢$193.5k

MED MildredBK · 155d ago

Trade this

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 75¢$193.4k

MED aekghas · 154d ago

Trade this

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢$177.0k

LOW VPenguin · 154d ago

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 55¢$162.2k

MED LOSING surfandturf · 154d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 96¢$155.1k

MED JAHODA · 154d ago

Trade this

Thunder vs. Spursmissed

BUY Spurs @ 54¢$122.8k

MED LOSING mooseborzoi · 154d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$111.7k

MED westminster · 154d ago

Most traded markets

Thunder vs. Spurs

$2.99M · 59 flags

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

$1.12M · 4 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

$728.3k · 15 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

$620.7k · 12 flags

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

$436.6k · 16 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$341.4k · 8 flags