Thursday, May 21, 2026

175 whale trades totalling $8.96M from 124 wallets. Biggest: $799.2k buy No on “Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?” at 99.9¢. 18 of 25 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 17.3 expected (+3.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$799.2k 4.8× usual	100%	lfg321	155d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$781.2k	100%	RomeoMustLive	155d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 83¢	$500.0k 2.6× usual	83%	aekghas	156d ago	called	Trade this
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$438.3k 4.6× usual	100%	JamesBonder007	155d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$338.1k	100%	0x6fec…3be3	156d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 83¢	$300.0k	83%	aekghas	155d ago	called	Trade this
Trump kiss by May 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$204.0k 4.1× usual	100%	elmcap2	155d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$202.9k	100%	0x7750…5226	155d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 80¢	$201.8k	80%	aekghas	155d ago	called	Trade this
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$166.6k 3.3× usual	100%	elmcap2	155d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$128.9k 2.6× usual	100%	elmcap2	155d ago	excluded
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	MED BUY Knicks @ 69¢	$126.0k	69%	ChloeT1	155d ago	called	Trade this
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	MED BUY Cavaliers @ 37¢	$125.3k 2.8× usual	37%	caicai888888	155d ago	excluded
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	MED BUY Knicks @ 95.6¢	$118.0k 5.2× usual	96%	BigHero6	155d ago	excluded
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	HIGH BUY Cavaliers @ 32¢	$117.1k 5.2× usual	32%	mooseborzoi LOSING	155d ago	missed	Trade this

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$799.2k

MED lfg321 · 155d ago

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$781.2k

LOW RomeoMustLive · 155d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 83¢$500.0k

HIGH aekghas · 156d ago

Trade this

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$438.3k

LOW JamesBonder007 · 155d ago

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$338.1k

LOW 0x6fec…3be3 · 156d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 83¢$300.0k

HIGH aekghas · 155d ago

Trade this

Trump kiss by May 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$204.0k

LOW elmcap2 · 155d ago

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$202.9k

LOW 0x7750…5226 · 155d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 80¢$201.8k

MED aekghas · 155d ago

Trade this

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$166.6k

LOW elmcap2 · 155d ago

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$128.9k

LOW elmcap2 · 155d ago

Cavaliers vs. Knickscalled

BUY Knicks @ 69¢$126.0k

MED ChloeT1 · 155d ago

Trade this

Cavaliers vs. Knicksexcluded

BUY Cavaliers @ 37¢$125.3k

MED caicai888888 · 155d ago

Cavaliers vs. Knicksexcluded

BUY Knicks @ 95.6¢$118.0k

MED BigHero6 · 155d ago

Cavaliers vs. Knicksmissed

BUY Cavaliers @ 32¢$117.1k

HIGH LOSING mooseborzoi · 155d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

$2.72M · 14 flags

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

$1.69M · 50 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

$1.28M · 19 flags

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

$532.2k · 7 flags

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings

$352.7k · 12 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$296.7k · 7 flags