← Live flags
Trump kiss by May 31?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $204.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Trump kiss by May 31?excluded$204.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 204,187 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)4.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet elmcap2 took Yes (buy) for $204.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $204.0k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $204.0k
- Placed
- May 21, 09:03 EDT
- Market close
- May 22, 21:21 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elmcap2
- Tx
- 0x0ea5db99…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+3.7 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsYes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump kiss by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $413.0k | excluded |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $130.1k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $17.8k | called |