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Trump kiss by May 31?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $130.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Trump kiss by May 31?excluded$130.1k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 130,265 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)6.4× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet tetrase took Yes (sell) for $130.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $130.1k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $130.1k
- Placed
- May 20, 12:16 EDT
- Market close
- May 22, 21:21 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tetrase
- Tx
- 0x111b5a15…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+20.7 pts
expected 5.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsYes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump kiss by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $204.0k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $413.0k | excluded |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $17.8k | called |