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Thunder vs. Spurscalled
What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.4 pts over 52 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
BUY Thunder @ 46¢ · 108,696 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet AV23IUa took Thunder (buy) for $50.0k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $50.0k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- May 22, 17:41 EDT
- Market close
- May 22, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AV23IUa
- Tx
- 0xeecfac89…
This wallet's graded record
29/52+0.4 pts
expected 28.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +54 ptsThunder price · entry 46¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $102.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $74.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |