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Thunder vs. Spursexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $421.6k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$421.6k
BUY Spurs @ 55¢ · 762,859 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)18.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Spurs (buy) for $421.6k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $421.6k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−124American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.3%
- As American odds
- −124 no vig
- Size
- $421.6k
- Placed
- May 22, 20:25 EDT
- Market close
- May 22, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x5e3cbdd8…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsSpurs price · entry 55¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $102.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $74.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |