Daily recap
Friday, May 15, 2026
193 whale trades totalling $6.67M from 125 wallets. Biggest: $228.9k buy No on “Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?” at 99.9¢. 9 of 14 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 8.0 expected (+7.3 pts).
Whale trades
193
Volume
$6.67M
Wallets
125
Resolved edge
+7.3 pts
Biggest trades
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $228.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 61¢ | $225.2k 4.9× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 62¢ | $201.4k 3.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 4.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Pistons @ 39¢ | $151.5k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 90¢ | $129.5k 6.8× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 94.1¢ | $126.6k 3.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Pistons @ 66¢ | $118.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $103.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 94.4¢ | $101.4k | called | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $99.7k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $93.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $91.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 61¢ | $82.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $82.2k | excluded |
Most traded markets
$1.49M · 34 flags
$712.1k · 19 flags
$601.9k · 13 flags
$564.8k · 16 flags
$526.7k · 14 flags
$450.6k · 12 flags
Resolved today
missed164d ago
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
BUYTimberwolves@ 35¢→Spurs
$274.5k · beet420implied 35%
called163d ago
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
BUYSpurs@ 65¢→Spurs
$96.3k · Hugewinnerimplied 65%
called178d ago
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
SELLYes@ 36¢→No
$68.4k · ponczykimplied 64%
called174d ago
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
BUYNo@ 65¢→No
$56.5k · DonaldinhoTrumpitoimplied 65%
called175d ago
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
SELLYes@ 34¢→No
$34.2k · UnderperformingForALivinimplied 66%
called174d ago
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
SELLYes@ 34¢→No
$29.6k · UnderperformingForALivinimplied 66%
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