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Daily recap

Saturday, May 16, 2026

117 whale trades totalling $7.76M from 97 wallets. Biggest: $2.29M buy No on “Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?” at 47¢. 7 of 10 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 5.9 expected (+10.8 pts).

Whale trades
117
Volume
$7.76M
Wallets
97
Resolved edge
+10.8 pts

Biggest trades

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?HIGH BUY No @ 47¢ $2.29M
5.0× usual
47% jdsahgf161d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)MED SELL Tommy Gantt @ 99.9¢ $519.3k
4.1× usual
0% Sassy-Bucket160d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)HIGH BUY Malcolm Wellmaker @ 69¢ $424.4k
3.3× usual
69% Sassy-Bucket160d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)HIGH BUY Tommy Gantt @ 64¢ $300.7k
2.4× usual
64% Sassy-Bucket160d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $295.9k100% poorsob160d agoexcluded
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ $295.6k0% CryptoVagabond160d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)HIGH BUY Daniel Barez @ 42¢ $275.5k
2.2× usual
42% Sassy-Bucket160d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Juan Diaz @ 99.9¢ $202.5k
4.8× usual
100% obamason160d agoexcluded
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)LOW BUY Luis Gurule @ 99.9¢ $166.6k
3.9× usual
100% obamason160d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $116.1k
3.2× usual
99% refzer160d agoexcluded
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsMED BUY New York Yankees @ 53¢ $111.1k53% 0xd959…daf7160d agomissed
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsLOW BUY New York Mets @ 47¢ $98.5k
2.4× usual
47% bossoskil1160d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?MED BUY No @ 44¢ $72.7k44% MildredBK161d agoexcluded
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $68.3k0% Sparatokos NEW160d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?MED BUY No @ 96¢ $63.7k
2.4× usual
96% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN161d agocalled
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