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What this means. A wallet put $202.5k on Juan Diaz, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$202.5k
BUY Juan Diaz @ 99.9¢ · 202,670 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)4.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet obamason took Juan Diaz (buy) for $202.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Juan Diaz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $202.5k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Juan Diaz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $202.5k
- Placed
- May 16, 21:47 EDT
- Market close
- May 16, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Juan Diaz
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- obamason
- Tx
- 0xb02741e6…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+8.5 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card) | LOW SELL Juan Diaz @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Juan Diaz @ 99.9¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card) | HIGH BUY Malcolm Wellmaker @ 69¢ | $424.4k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Malcolm Wellmaker @ 69¢ | $18.2k | missed |