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What this means. A wallet put $275.5k on Daniel Barez, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$275.5k
BUY Daniel Barez @ 42¢ · 660,906 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $250k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Sassy-Bucket took Daniel Barez (buy) for $275.5k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Luis Gurule. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $275.5k+3
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+140American odds
$1.00paid per share if Daniel Barez wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 41.7%
- As American odds
- +140 no vig
- Size
- $275.5k
- Placed
- May 16, 17:32 EDT
- Market close
- May 16, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Luis Gurule
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Sassy-Bucket
- Tx
- 0xd7fa848d…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-16.2 pts
expected 6.0 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) | LOW BUY Luis Gurule @ 99.9¢ | $166.6k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) | LOW BUY Luis Gurule @ 60¢ | $13.2k | called |