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−$55South Carolina · avg 51¢ → 50¢ · $5,555+$30Yes · avg 14¢ → 14¢ · $855
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did +27.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+27.8 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$968.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$29.6k
Last 30 days −$20.6k · $6.04M volume · 3,169 trades · since Jul 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$718.3k
Open P&L · 190 positions
−$682.1k
Closed-position win rate
82%
308 closed
Wallet age · markets
832d
496 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | +27.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 89¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
 Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Packers @ 49¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 87¢ | $53.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Titans vs. Ravens | LOW BUY Ravens @ 86¢ | $12.0k | called |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 50¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | LOW BUY Ravens @ 63¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 90¢ | $72.0k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $20.5k | called |
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 90.6¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 64¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 64¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 44¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | MED BUY Spurs @ 45¢ | $27.2k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 58¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 57¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 58¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 88¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | MED BUY Spurs @ 90¢ | $129.5k 6.8× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Spurs @ 65¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Spurs @ 78¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $98.8k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 80¢ | $79.1k 4.2× usual |
called |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 87¢ | $69.3k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 75¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | LOW BUY 76ers @ 53¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 73¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Rockets @ 61¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Celtics @ 68¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
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