Tuesday, May 12, 2026

157 whale trades totalling $6.05M from 107 wallets. Biggest: $551.9k buy No on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?” at 99.7¢. 5 of 18 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 5.5 expected (-2.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$551.9k 16.5× usual	100%	UnderperformingForALivin	164d ago	excluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$328.4k	100%	FedWillWin	164d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Lakers	MED BUY Thunder @ 61¢	$219.4k 4.9× usual	61%	PowerSupplyUnit	165d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 78¢	$206.6k 5.6× usual	78%	gatorr	164d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	MED BUY B8 @ 66¢	$151.6k 3.7× usual	66%	bossoskil1	164d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢	$150.0k	100%	iPrediction	164d ago	excluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$138.0k	100%	NotBakerMcKenzie	164d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Lakers	LOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢	$127.7k 5.0× usual	99%	08AF	165d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$112.4k 2.2× usual	99%	JAHODA	165d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 95¢	$99.3k 3.1× usual	95%	wkmfa518	164d ago	called	Trade this
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$98.2k	100%	elmcap2	164d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 79¢	$96.4k	79%	0xe30e…6b87	164d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 65¢	$88.9k 2.2× usual	65%	Frommud	164d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW BUY No @ 95¢	$70.8k 2.2× usual	95%	wkmfa518	165d ago	called	Trade this
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$69.9k 2.8× usual	100%	Thailand-Playboy	164d ago	excluded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$551.9k

LOW UnderperformingForALivin · 164d ago

Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$328.4k

LOW FedWillWin · 164d ago

Thunder vs. Lakersexcluded

BUY Thunder @ 61¢$219.4k

MED PowerSupplyUnit · 165d ago

Timberwolves vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 78¢$206.6k

MED gatorr · 164d ago

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Aexcluded

BUY B8 @ 66¢$151.6k

MED bossoskil1 · 164d ago

Timberwolves vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢$150.0k

LOW iPrediction · 164d ago

Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$138.0k

LOW NotBakerMcKenzie · 164d ago

Thunder vs. Lakersexcluded

BUY Thunder @ 99¢$127.7k

LOW 08AF · 165d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$112.4k

LOW JAHODA · 165d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 95¢$99.3k

MED wkmfa518 · 164d ago

Trade this

Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$98.2k

LOW elmcap2 · 164d ago

Timberwolves vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 79¢$96.4k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 164d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?missed

BUY No @ 65¢$88.9k

LOW Frommud · 164d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 95¢$70.8k

LOW wkmfa518 · 165d ago

Trade this

Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$69.9k

LOW Thailand-Playboy · 164d ago

Most traded markets

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

$1.02M · 28 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

$957.0k · 11 flags

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

$858.4k · 11 flags

Thunder vs. Lakers

$781.4k · 21 flags

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

$365.5k · 8 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$227.5k · 5 flags