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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$175.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$96.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.02M volume · 1,734 trades · since May 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$88.1k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$3,603
Closed-position win rate
23%
201 closed
Wallet age · markets
—
203 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $69.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ | $49.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xce1ee0…