Sunday, April 26, 2026

258 whale trades totalling $16.92M from 166 wallets. Biggest: $2.99M buy Yes on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?” at 99.8¢. 12 of 21 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 11.0 expected (+4.9 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$2.99M 64.7× usual	100%	CAR-GangVersion	181d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$997.0k 19.7× usual	100%	elmcap2	181d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$829.4k 3.7× usual	100%	poorsob	181d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	MED BUY No @ 99.7¢	$502.4k 10.9× usual	100%	CAR-GangVersion	181d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$458.9k 4.6× usual	100%	NotBakerMcKenzie	181d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$356.4k 12.5× usual	100%	debased	181d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	HIGH BUY Trail Blazers @ 77¢	$347.9k 10.8× usual	77%	YYYYY999 PROVEN	181d ago	excluded
Celtics vs. 76ers	MED BUY Celtics @ 99.8¢	$319.7k 11.4× usual	100%	Countrysid	181d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.7¢	$309.8k	1%	0x6847…cd7d NEW	181d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.7¢	$300.7k	1%	0x2a4f…792e NEW	181d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	HIGH BUY Spurs @ 70¢	$290.0k 6.8× usual	70%	0x2a2c…9bc1	181d ago	excluded
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	MED SELL BetBoom Team @ 99.9¢	$249.8k 6.2× usual	0%	bossoskil1	181d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$247.3k 6.5× usual	100%	tsekinming01	181d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Rockets	MED BUY Rockets @ 59¢	$246.7k	59%	0x4924…3782	181d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$223.9k 2.4× usual	100%	JamesBonder007	181d ago	excluded

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$2.99M

LOW CAR-GangVersion · 181d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$997.0k

LOW elmcap2 · 181d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$829.4k

LOW poorsob · 181d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$502.4k

MED CAR-GangVersion · 181d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$458.9k

LOW NotBakerMcKenzie · 181d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$356.4k

LOW debased · 181d ago

Spurs vs. Trail Blazersexcluded

BUY Trail Blazers @ 77¢$347.9k

HIGH PROVEN YYYYY999 · 181d ago

Celtics vs. 76ersexcluded

BUY Celtics @ 99.8¢$319.7k

MED Countrysid · 181d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$309.8k

HIGH New wallet 0x6847…cd7d · 181d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$300.7k

HIGH New wallet 0x2a4f…792e · 181d ago

Spurs vs. Trail Blazersexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 70¢$290.0k

HIGH 0x2a2c…9bc1 · 181d ago

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerexcluded

SELL BetBoom Team @ 99.9¢$249.8k

MED bossoskil1 · 181d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$247.3k

LOW tsekinming01 · 181d ago

Lakers vs. Rocketsexcluded

BUY Rockets @ 59¢$246.7k

MED 0x4924…3782 · 181d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$223.9k

LOW JamesBonder007 · 181d ago

Most traded markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

$4.93M · 12 flags

Lakers vs. Rockets

$2.57M · 58 flags

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

$2.18M · 47 flags

Celtics vs. 76ers

$1.90M · 41 flags

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

$1.84M · 15 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$683.6k · 5 flags