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What this means. A wallet put $300.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$300.7k
SELL No @ 98.7¢ · 304,642 shares in 29 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side29 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2a4f…792e took No (sell) for $300.7k at an average 98.7¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $300.7k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
29 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.7¢
- Implied odds
- 1.3%
- As American odds
- +7592 no vig
- Size
- $300.7k
- Placed
- Apr 26, 16:57 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 01:08 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2a4f…792e
- Tx
- 0xa84d8549…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $89.9k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $11.0k | called |