Tuesday, February 3, 2026

358 whale trades totalling $14.16M from 228 wallets. Biggest: $942.2k buy Yes on “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?” at 99.9¢. 19 of 28 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 18.0 expected (+3.6 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$942.2k 3.6× usual	100%	0xcb32…c216	263d ago	excluded
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)	MED BUY Patriots @ 50¢	$479.0k 2.4× usual	50%	hovanpavi	263d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$458.2k 5.0× usual	0%	ClaudeAI	263d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$362.9k 12.7× usual	0%	debased	262d ago	excluded
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$319.4k 9.0× usual	100%	tsybka	262d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$298.3k 8.4× usual	0%	tsybka	262d ago	excluded
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$258.5k 2.8× usual	100%	ClaudeAI	263d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B	MED SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢	$251.6k 7.9× usual	0%	YT-JuicySlots	262d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$235.5k 6.6× usual	0%	tsybka	262d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$221.7k 7.7× usual	0%	debased	262d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$203.4k 3.0× usual	0%	ZhangMuZhi..	262d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$199.8k	0%	lfg321	262d ago	excluded
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$199.5k 4.2× usual	0%	alliswell	263d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$195.9k 10.1× usual	100%	NFTS	262d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$186.1k 9.0× usual	0%	tourists	262d ago	excluded

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$942.2k

MED 0xcb32…c216 · 263d ago

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)missed

BUY Patriots @ 50¢$479.0k

MED hovanpavi · 263d ago

Trade this

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$458.2k

MED ClaudeAI · 263d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$362.9k

MED debased · 262d ago

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$319.4k

MED tsybka · 262d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$298.3k

MED tsybka · 262d ago

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$258.5k

LOW ClaudeAI · 263d ago

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bexcluded

SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢$251.6k

MED YT-JuicySlots · 262d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$235.5k

MED tsybka · 262d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$221.7k

LOW debased · 262d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$203.4k

LOW ZhangMuZhi.. · 262d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$199.8k

LOW lfg321 · 262d ago

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$199.5k

LOW alliswell · 263d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$195.9k

LOW NFTS · 262d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$186.1k

MED tourists · 262d ago

Most traded markets

US government shutdown Saturday?

$3.61M · 50 flags

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

$2.54M · 37 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$1.36M · 80 flags

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

$1.25M · 18 flags

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

$733.7k · 25 flags

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

$679.0k · 3 flags