← Live flags
Sabres vs. Lightningmissed
What this means. A wallet put $56.0k on Sabres, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Sabres vs. Lightningmissed$56.0k
BUY Sabres @ 37¢ · 151,294 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet BWArmageddon took Sabres (buy) for $56.0k at an average 37¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved Lightning, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $56.0k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 37¢ means
37%chance the market gave
+170American odds
$1.00paid per share if Sabres wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 37¢
- Implied odds
- 37.0%
- As American odds
- +170 no vig
- Size
- $56.0k
- Placed
- Feb 03, 12:14 EST
- Market close
- Feb 03, 19:30 EST
- Result
- Lightning
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BWArmageddon
- Tx
- 0xadd99ab1…
This wallet's graded record
3/6+3.1 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -37 ptsSabres price · entry 37¢ · resolved Lightning
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Lightning @ 54¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Sabres @ 46¢ | $39.5k | excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Sabres @ 35¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | MED BUY Lightning @ 65¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | MED BUY Lightning @ 63¢ | $161.0k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Lightning @ 64¢ | $16.3k | excluded |