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Sabres vs. Lightningmissed
What this means. A wallet put $58.2k on Sabres, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-18.4 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Sabres vs. Lightningmissed$58.2k
BUY Sabres @ 38¢ · 153,031 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet YT-JuicySlots took Sabres (buy) for $58.2k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Lightning, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $58.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Sabres wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- As American odds
- +163 no vig
- Size
- $58.2k
- Placed
- Feb 03, 16:15 EST
- Market close
- Feb 03, 19:30 EST
- Result
- Lightning
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- YT-JuicySlots
- Tx
- 0xdb10a7e5…
This wallet's graded record
6/20-18.4 pts
expected 9.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsSabres price · entry 38¢ · resolved Lightning
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Lightning @ 54¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Sabres @ 46¢ | $39.5k | excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Sabres @ 35¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | MED BUY Lightning @ 65¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | MED BUY Lightning @ 63¢ | $161.0k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Sabres vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Lightning @ 64¢ | $16.3k | excluded |