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What this means. A wallet put $112.5k on Vitality, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$112.5k
BUY Vitality @ 75¢ · 150,000 shares
Size ≥ $100k3.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gmanas took Vitality (buy) for $112.5k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Vitality, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $112.5k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Vitality wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.0%
- As American odds
- −300 no vig
- Size
- $112.5k
- Placed
- Feb 03, 05:49 EST
- Market close
- Feb 03, 13:40 EST
- Result
- Vitality
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gmanas
- Tx
- 0x402995a7…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsVitality price · entry 75¢ · resolved Vitality
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | LOW SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ | $93.8k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | LOW BUY Vitality @ 85¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | LOW BUY Vitality @ 72¢ | $72.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 26¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | LOW BUY Vitality @ 74¢ | $54.0k | called |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 26¢ | $22.7k | missed |