ZhangMuZhi..

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$46.9kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $126.6k Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$46.9kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $32.7k

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$715.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$738.8k

Last 30 days +$4,769 · $69.23M volume · 41,777 trades · since Jan 17, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$8.59M

Open P&L · 2 positions

−$0

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

280d

7313 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$147.7k 2.2× usual	0%	128d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$102.1k	99%	157d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	MED SELL No @ 98.6¢	$153.7k 2.3× usual	1%	158d ago	excluded
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$26.2k	0%	191d ago	excluded
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$32.0k	0%	191d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$30.0k	0%	199d ago	excluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$20.0k	99%	234d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$203.4k 3.0× usual	0%	262d ago	excluded

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$147.7k

LOW ZhangMuZhi.. · 128d ago

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$102.1k

LOW ZhangMuZhi.. · 157d ago

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

SELL No @ 98.6¢$153.7k

MED ZhangMuZhi.. · 158d ago

Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$26.2k

LOW ZhangMuZhi.. · 191d ago

Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$32.0k

LOW ZhangMuZhi.. · 191d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$30.0k

LOW ZhangMuZhi.. · 199d ago

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$20.0k

LOW ZhangMuZhi.. · 234d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$203.4k

LOW ZhangMuZhi.. · 262d ago

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