Weekly report card
Week 2026-30
Jul 20, 00:00 EDT – Jul 26, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week
Price-adjusted edge
+7.9 pts
Called
16/21
Expected from price
14.3
Std. error
±9.4
In week 2026-30, 21 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 16 times; entry prices implied 14.3. Whales beat the price by +7.9 pts. One week is a small sample.
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 12 | 7 | 6.6 | +3.2 pts |
| Other | 9 | 9 | 7.7 | +14.2 pts |
Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)
called91d ago
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers@ 54¢→Los Angeles Dodgers
$71.4k · 0x3dfb…abafimplied 54%
called95d ago
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa
SELLKatarzyna Kawa@ 45¢→Paula Badosa
$10.8k · Do-Not-Redeemimplied 55%
called96d ago
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa
BUYPaula Badosa@ 55¢→Paula Badosa
$36.0k · 0x2c33…0563implied 55%
Biggest misses
missed95d ago
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
BUYSan Diego Padres@ 47¢→Atlanta Braves
$64.7k · 0x3dfb…abafimplied 47%
missed91d ago
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
BUYNew York Mets@ 45¢→Los Angeles Dodgers
$39.0k · pleaseplease123implied 45%
missed95d ago
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
BUYSan Diego Padres@ 46¢→Atlanta Braves
$11.2k · SPCEXBUYERimplied 46%
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