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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-0.0 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 13,923 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Arbguy took No (buy) for $12.9k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- Jul 22, 11:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 24, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Arbguy
- Tx
- 0x2fed6a5c…
This wallet's graded record
15/23-0.0 pts
expected 15.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +7 ptsNo price · entry 93¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | LOW SELL No @ 93.5¢ | $10.3k | excluded |