← Wallets
−$23.4kYes · avg 52¢ → 12¢ · $6,638 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$7No · avg 76¢ → 91.2¢ · $44
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did +33.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+33.8 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$36.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$28.8k
Last 30 days −$3,464 · $1.91M volume · 1,508 trades · since Apr 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$11.3k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$17.5k
Closed-position win rate
58%
50 closed
Wallet age · markets
188d
48 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.1 | +46.6 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +8.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $13.5k | called |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $12.0k | called |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $10.6k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7c6ad2…