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What this means. A wallet put $10.9k on San Diego Padres, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-11.5 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.9k
BUY San Diego Padres @ 45¢ · 24,292 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x16bb…8492 took San Diego Padres (buy) for $10.9k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Atlanta Braves, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if San Diego Padres wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $10.9k
- Placed
- Jul 20, 10:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 20, 19:15 EDT
- Result
- Atlanta Braves
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x16bb…8492
- Tx
- 0xfbcbf8a8…
This wallet's graded record
10/25-11.5 pts
expected 12.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -45 ptsSan Diego Padres price · entry 45¢ · resolved Atlanta Braves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 39¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 55¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | MED BUY Atlanta Braves @ 54¢ | $135.0k | excluded |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 47¢ | $64.7k | missed |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 46¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 46¢ | $10.1k | missed |