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Do-Not-Redeem

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did +18.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
+18.3 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.5
Flagged volume
$274.3k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$368.6k
Last 30 days +$3,656 · $13.67M volume · 55,842 trades · since May 05, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$482.4k
Open P&L · 19 positions
+$8,965
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
538d
2952 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other221.9+5.0 pts
Sports110.6+45.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ $39.2k51% 1d agopending
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ $30.3k46% 2d agopending
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 84¢ $12.7k16% 81d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 91¢ $23.6k9% 83d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $22.5k90% 92d agocalled
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula BadosaLOW SELL Katarzyna Kawa @ 45¢ $10.8k55% 95d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $20.0k95% 108d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ $15.2k97% 118d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 97¢ $19.4k3% 121d agomissed
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ $12.2k96% 125d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $49.5k
2.5× usual
99% 143d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $18.8k95% 212d agocalled

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