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What this means. A wallet put $18.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.8k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 19,807 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Do-Not-Redeem took No (buy) for $18.8k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $18.8k
- Placed
- Mar 25, 13:43 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Do-Not-Redeem
- Tx
- 0xa24e2e8a…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+18.3 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.4k | excluded |