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What this means. A wallet put $25.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Trump visit China by April 30?excluded
$25.2k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 25,284 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet 0xcf19…6402 took No (sell) for $25.2k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$25.2k
Placed
Apr 29, 08:20 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xcf19…6402
Tx
0xa4b44785…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+15.4 pts
expected 2.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $25.2k WHALE $25.2K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $24.6k100% samemma176d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $16.7k100% tianjiyuyunzhilu177d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $49.9k0% 0x5bff…ffbe179d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $12.2k0% 0xshanhai180d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $12.4k0% 0x0a54…4a03180d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $44.1k100% NotBakerMcKenzie180d agoexcluded