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Daily recap

Friday, October 30, 2026

16 whale trades totalling $421.9k from 14 wallets. Biggest: $105.0k buy Yes on “Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?” at 99.5¢.

Whale trades

16

Volume

$421.9k

Wallets

14

Resolved edge

—

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$105.0k 4.9× usual	100%	Car	1h ago	OpenAwaiting resolution
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$40.0k	100%	Trump2028	1h ago	OpenResolves Oct 31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$39.1k	100%	The Spirit of Ukraine>UM	1h ago	OpenResolves Oct 31
Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	LOW SELL Kamilla Rakhimova @ 99.9¢	$33.3k	0%	Kkunn	1h ago	Excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢	$28.8k	98%	The Spirit of Ukraine>UM	1h ago	OpenResolves Nov 1
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢	$26.2k	1%	SDG770	1h ago	OpenAwaiting resolution
Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	LOW SELL Kamilla Rakhimova @ 99.9¢	$24.8k	0%	robustmst	1h ago	Excluded
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$17.7k	100%	Buy1Get1Free	19m ago	OpenResolves Oct 30
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	LOW SELL No @ 93¢	$16.4k	7%	ndb1	1h ago	OpenResolves Nov 3
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$14.6k	99%	The Spirit of Ukraine>UM	1h ago	OpenResolves Nov 1
Hornets vs. Wizards	MED BUY Hornets @ 48¢	$14.4k	48%	hewhodoesit NEW	55m ago	OpenStarts Fri 7:00p ET
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-31? AND Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31?	LOW BUY None @ 10¢	$14.4k	10%	0xa2a7…627b	31m ago	Open
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$14.0k	98%	chriszyy3	44m ago	OpenResolves Dec 31
Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana	LOW SELL Alicia Herrero Linana @ 79¢	$12.1k	21%	tennistrader20	1h ago	Excluded
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	LOW SELL No @ 93¢	$11.2k	7%	18in36out	49m ago	OpenResolves Nov 3

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?OpenAwaiting resolution

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$105.0k

LOW Car · 1h ago

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?OpenResolves Oct 31

BUY No @ 99.9¢$40.0k

LOW Trump2028 · 1h ago

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?OpenResolves Oct 31

BUY No @ 99.8¢$39.1k

LOW The Spirit of Ukraine>UM · 1h ago

Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya JointExcluded

SELL Kamilla Rakhimova @ 99.9¢$33.3k

LOW Kkunn · 1h ago

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?OpenResolves Nov 1

BUY No @ 97.7¢$28.8k

LOW The Spirit of Ukraine>UM · 1h ago

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?OpenAwaiting resolution

SELL Yes @ 99.1¢$26.2k

LOW SDG770 · 1h ago

Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya JointExcluded

SELL Kamilla Rakhimova @ 99.9¢$24.8k

LOW robustmst · 1h ago

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?OpenResolves Oct 30

BUY No @ 99.7¢$17.7k

LOW Buy1Get1Free · 19m ago

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?OpenResolves Nov 3

SELL No @ 93¢$16.4k

LOW ndb1 · 1h ago

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?OpenResolves Nov 1

BUY No @ 99.1¢$14.6k

LOW The Spirit of Ukraine>UM · 1h ago

Hornets vs. WizardsOpenStarts Fri 7:00p ET

BUY Hornets @ 48¢$14.4k

MED New wallet hewhodoesit · 55m ago

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-31? AND Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31?Open

BUY None @ 10¢$14.4k

LOW 0xa2a7…627b · 31m ago

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?OpenResolves Dec 31

BUY No @ 97.5¢$14.0k

LOW chriszyy3 · 44m ago

Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero LinanaExcluded

SELL Alicia Herrero Linana @ 79¢$12.1k

LOW tennistrader20 · 1h ago

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseOpenResolves Nov 3

SELL No @ 93¢$11.2k

LOW 18in36out · 49m ago

Most traded markets

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

$131.2k · 2 flags

Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint

$58.1k · 2 flags

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?

$40.0k · 1 flags

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?

$39.1k · 1 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

$28.8k · 1 flags

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

$17.7k · 1 flags

Sharpest odds moves

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	HIGH Yes DOWN -27.0 pts	$88.5k 24h vol	80%	1h ago	OpenResolves Nov 2
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	LOW Yes DOWN -14.9 pts	$103.3k 24h vol	45%	1h ago	OpenResolves Jan 1

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?OpenResolves Nov 2

Yes DOWN -27.0 pts$88.5k

HIGH Crypto · 1h ago

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?OpenResolves Jan 1

Yes DOWN -14.9 pts$103.3k

LOW Other · 1h ago

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