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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Oct 31
$40.0k
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?
Trump2028 bought No at 99.9¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 40,040 shares, Oct 30, 00:50 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $40.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Trump2028 bought No for $40.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $40.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · now 99.9¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $19.5k | OpenResolves Oct 31 |