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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$14.0k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
chriszyy3 bought No at 97.5¢. The price gave that side a 98% chance. 14,328 shares, Oct 30, 01:15 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet chriszyy3 bought No for $14.0k at an average 97.5¢. At that price the market implied 98% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $14.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−3900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.0 ptsNo price · entry 97.5¢ · now 97.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | MED SELL No @ 97.1¢ | $39.9k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.8¢ | $65.8k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |