← Live flags
Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$65.8k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Anjun sold No at 97.8¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 2% chance. 67,241 shares, Oct 29, 13:54 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $65.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Anjun sold No for $65.8k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied 2% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $65.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.1 ptsNo price · entry 97.8¢ · now 97.7¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.