Friday, August 28, 2026

94 whale trades totalling $4.42M from 71 wallets. Biggest: $671.5k sell Yes on “Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?” at 99.9¢. 4 of 10 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 5.2 expected (-11.9 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$671.5k	0%	0x14c7…9ccf	57d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	MED BUY Yes @ 59¢	$399.8k	59%	0x14c7…9ccf	57d ago	called	Trade this
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	MED BUY Yes @ 60¢	$198.0k 6.0× usual	60%	AV23IUa PROVEN	57d ago	excluded
Trump out as President by August 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$184.3k 2.4× usual	100%	033033033	57d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	MED BUY No @ 41¢	$135.3k 5.3× usual	41%	plonker2026	57d ago	missed	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$135.1k	100%	JamesBonder007	57d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	MED BUY No @ 43¢	$131.4k 7.4× usual	43%	0x9e3e…f882	57d ago	missed	Trade this
Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics	MED BUY Athletics @ 49¢	$115.5k 3.7× usual	49%	0xf668…5c69	56d ago	missed	Trade this
Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics	MED SELL Athletics @ 48¢	$112.9k 3.6× usual	52%	0xf668…5c69	56d ago	excluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$99.6k 2.6× usual	100%	scout	57d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$98.8k 3.7× usual	99%	TheyAreTakingTheHobitsTo	57d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$93.5k 4.3× usual	0%	pilimili	57d ago	excluded
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 76¢	$91.9k	76%	lkitckdi9 NEW	57d ago	called	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢	$89.1k 2.2× usual	52%	Larpital NEW	57d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 51¢	$77.8k	51%	patrick777	57d ago	missed	Trade this

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$671.5k

MED 0x14c7…9ccf · 57d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?called

BUY Yes @ 59¢$399.8k

MED 0x14c7…9ccf · 57d ago

Trade this

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 60¢$198.0k

MED PROVEN AV23IUa · 57d ago

Trump out as President by August 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$184.3k

LOW 033033033 · 57d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?missed

BUY No @ 41¢$135.3k

MED plonker2026 · 57d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$135.1k

LOW JamesBonder007 · 57d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?missed

BUY No @ 43¢$131.4k

MED 0x9e3e…f882 · 57d ago

Trade this

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athleticsmissed

BUY Athletics @ 49¢$115.5k

MED 0xf668…5c69 · 56d ago

Trade this

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athleticsexcluded

SELL Athletics @ 48¢$112.9k

MED 0xf668…5c69 · 56d ago

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$99.6k

LOW scout · 57d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$98.8k

LOW TheyAreTakingTheHobitsTo · 57d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$93.5k

LOW pilimili · 57d ago

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?called

BUY Yes @ 76¢$91.9k

HIGH New wallet lkitckdi9 · 57d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?missed

BUY Yes @ 52¢$89.1k

HIGH New wallet Larpital · 57d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?missed

BUY No @ 51¢$77.8k

MED patrick777 · 57d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?

$1.92M · 21 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

$484.9k · 24 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

$387.5k · 13 flags

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

$276.1k · 5 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

$268.1k · 4 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

$265.9k · 3 flags